In spite of me saying there was a very very slight chance that a tropical depression would form in the Bay of Campeche, due to moderate to high wind shear over the region. Surprisingly we have tropical storm Barry just off the East Coast of Mexico. Barry follows Andrea which formed west of the Azores June 24th.
TS Barry Is moving northwest at 6 mph with a minimum central pressure of 1006MB with maximum sustained winds at 40 mph. Sea surface temperatures Car around 84° Fahrenheit, Bought berries limited time over the open water should prevent any other development. Barry looks to make a land call close to Tampico Mexico later today or tonight. Then he will move inland into Mexico, where he could linger for a couple of days before dissipating. Mexico can expect 3-6 "of rain, with localized amounts of 10-12" possible out of Barry bringing the danger of flooding and mudslides. Moisture from Barry is going to drift north and impact Texas. 1 to 1.5 inches of rain Are likely for places like South Padre island and Galveston. Further inland away from the coast 3⁄4" to 1/2". Houston into the rest of northern Texas could see 1/2" to 1/4".
There is another area in the northwest Gulf over towards Florida that has to be watched. The National Hurricane center (NHC) is giving this area a 20% chance of development, over the next couple of days.The next name on the list is Chantel.
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