10/02/2025

 Here are the current surface chart and radar.

Both of these high pressure is moving in overhead to take control of pattern for the next several days. The next several days are going to remain dry. Satellite is showing mostly clear skies across the region. But there are high level clouds over the northern Middle Atlantic

Today is gonna stay cool But tonight won't get as cold as we saw last night. After a cooler start, Temperatures are going to start to recover tomorrow as the high pressure overhead slowly starts to drift east, with some southernly winds pushing in the warmer temperatures. Over the weekend The high pressure will continue to slide to the east This will create a stronger southwest flow Which will allow temperatures to climb to above average levels for both Saturday and Sunday, Both days are going to be completely dry. For Monday With the high pressure sitting off the coast We will have a breezy southwest flow that's really gonna drive our temperatures  to well above average. On Tuesday we're going to be watching a cold front approach out of Canadaanada. Scattered rain showers will be possible ahead of this front over western into central parts of Pennsylvania And New York state. Away from this area shower chances will be more isolated. The actual cold front Will come through on Wednesday bringing widespread scattered showers Along with a chance for a few thunderstorms to the region. For Thursday High pressure will move back in overhead turning off the water works and returning us to dry conditions. We are going to cool off behind the cold front to average to below average temperatures for early October.

Tropical Atlantic:

Currently Imelda Imelda has maximum stain wins of 75 mph with a central pressure of 980MB. Imelda is pulling away from a direct hit on the British territory of Bermuda late last night into the overnight. When she hit Bermuda She was in the process of turning post tropical, So that lessened her impact somewhat. After lashing the island as a category 2 hurricane.   Imelda is racing east northeast at 29 mph and is now a post tropical system. Humberto has dissipated after passing well west and north of Bermuda. Both of these systems will merge and be carried by the trough north and east Where they will hit Ireland and the UK tomorrow as a powerful extra tropical system.

There are two other areas in the Atlantic that the national hurricane center is interested in. The first is an area that will be moving off the west coast of Africa. Currently the NHC is giving this low development odds of 20% over the next 7 days. We're at the end of what's considered the Cabo Verde season (when tropical waves roll off the West Coast of Africa Eastern Atlantic and worked into the western Atlantic and work their away across into the western Atlantic and Caribbean). So the odds are very much against this developing into anything, but we will see! The other area of interest is Near the remnants of an old front off the east coast of Florida. National hurricane center Is giving this 2 day and 7 day odds of 10% concurrently. This will more than likely be a big rainmaker for Florida. But we were at that time of year when we look closer to home for hurricane development. So it's worth keeping an eye on.

Northeast drought:

The region dead sea some beneficial rainfall last week. But the nature of the rainfall Meant that many areas Didn't see as much rain as other areas. The drought monitor released today.

Shows some slight improvements over parts of Pennsylvania And around the Central Hudson Valley In New York State. The rest of the region Saw no change With Western New York State, parts of New England and northern Middle Atlantic seeing conditions become worse.

Today's drought monitor shows 7% of the northeast is in extreme drought 19% in severe drought,  with 24% in moderate drought and 43% under abnormally dry conditions. This compares to 7% being under extreme drought, 19% In severe drought, 27% Under moderate drought and 39% abnormally dry for last week.